Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.137666 0.162908 0.191112 0.224911 0.264261 0.308573 0.362204
2025-01-05 0.098041 0.130428 0.170660 0.224084 0.292915 0.378340 0.492101
2025-01-12 0.073469 0.107303 0.153004 0.218767 0.310399 0.432886 0.608229
2025-01-19 0.057010 0.090125 0.138131 0.212003 0.321825 0.477837 0.714686
2025-01-26 0.048178 0.081550 0.132948 0.216691 0.348188 0.544759 0.858142
2025-02-02 0.041115 0.074051 0.127635 0.219534 0.371053 0.608018 1.002425
2025-02-09 0.035191 0.067150 0.121849 0.220194 0.389737 0.665995 1.144064
2025-02-16 0.030835 0.062077 0.118117 0.223341 0.412287 0.731854 1.304706
2025-02-23 0.028007 0.059241 0.117729 0.231990 0.444903 0.817350 1.506512
2025-03-02 0.023724 0.052783 0.109635 0.225249 0.448872 0.853506 1.626331
2025-03-09 0.020934 0.048816 0.105624 0.225505 0.465454 0.913237 1.793492
2025-03-16 0.018255 0.044582 0.100395 0.222504 0.475166 0.960948 1.942783
2025-03-23 0.016645 0.042488 0.099391 0.228223 0.503292 1.047211 2.175550
2025-03-30 0.014663 0.039169 0.095267 0.226795 0.516718 1.106531 2.362646
2025-04-06 0.012680 0.035460 0.089673 0.221295 0.520764 1.147362 2.516848
2025-04-13 0.010906 0.031915 0.083876 0.214433 0.520842 1.179788 2.656730
2025-04-20 0.010030 0.030561 0.083099 0.219165 0.547331 1.270223 2.926534
2025-04-27 0.009154 0.029034 0.081647 0.222038 0.569820 1.354140 3.190201
2025-05-04 0.008275 0.027319 0.079442 0.222705 0.587121 1.428205 3.439145
2025-05-11 0.007602 0.026077 0.078288 0.225885 0.610847 1.518973 3.733740
2025-05-18 0.007209 0.025620 0.079201 0.234627 0.649389 1.647472 4.125940
2025-05-25 0.006301 0.023330 0.074603 0.227814 0.647540 1.680818 4.300061
2025-06-01 0.005731 0.022030 0.072655 0.228072 0.664103 1.759836 4.589466